With 6 weeks of statistics in the books for many of the CFB teams, I am ready to make definitive conclusions about the defensive abilities of the 130 CFB teams. In this week’s article, I divide the teams into 3 groups. First is the Defensive Dandies, who are the best statistical teams in the nation. The second two groups, entitled the Defensive DUDS and the 200 Clubs represent the worst statistical defensive teams on the CFB landscape. Below I will list the parameters for each of these groups followed by a chart of the 3 groups of teams and their numbers. Next week, we will look at the offensive side of the ball. To see the way you can use these numbers to your advantage, I urge a subscription to the Pointspread Prognosis Newsletter, available on this site and a review of the statistical conclusions entitled “Keep on Trackin’”.
The Defensive Dandies
- Allow less than or equal to 20 PPG
- Allow less than 300 YPG
- Allow less than or equal to 120 RYPG
- Allow less than or equal to 3.0 YPR
|Team||DEF PPG||DEF YPG||DEF RYPG||DEF YPR|
As long as these teams remain qualified Defensive Dandies, fade them at your own risk, and always look to PLAY ON them in the role of underdog or with a reason to play.
- Allow 32 or morePPG
- Allow 460 or more YPG
- Allow 200 or more RYPG
- Allow 5.0 or more Def YPR
|Team||32+ DEF PPG||460+ YPG||200+ RYPG||5.0+ DEF YPR|
The above group of teams are vulnerable defensively. But they are especially vulnerable to the run. Check “Keep on Trackin’” in the Pointspread Prognosis to see again this year how poorly CFB teams do when they are double rushed.
The Defensive 200 Club
- Allow 32 or more PPG
- Allow 200 or more RYPG
- Allow 200 or more PYPG
- Allow 4.5 or more YPR
- Allow 7.5 or more PYPA
|Team||32+ DEF PPG||200+ DEF RYPG||200+ DEF PYPG
|4.5+ DYPR||7.5+ DPYPA|
Much like the Defensive Duds above, you should avoid playing on these teams unless they are getting plentiful points, have a reason to play, or their opponent is in letdown mode. There are few circumstances in which you should ever lay points with any of the teams who are Defensive Duds or 200 Club members. To see how well you would do by fading teams who allow 200 or more yards both rushing and passing in the game, make sure to review “Keep on Trackin’” in your Pointspread Prognosis Newsletter.
Now you know who are the worst defensive teams on the CFB landscape through the 2nd weekend in October! By updating their stats weekly, following the parameters laid out in the conclusions for each above, and following results in the “Keep on Trackin’” section of the Pointspread Prognosis Newsletter, you can be a very wealthy man by the end of the CFB Season. We return next week with a look at the offensive statistics.