CFB Prognosis for Fall 2020 – Independent

INDEPENDENT

 ARMY WEST POINT Black Knights

The Black Knights had high hopes for the 2019 season following a combined record of 21-5 SU the previous 2 seasons and 3 consecutive victories over a Navy team who had previously dominated them in recent history.  They also had the confidence of 3 consecutive Bowl victories.  After steaming Rice 14-7 in the opener (in a look-ahead game to Michigan), they traveled to the Big House for a game that could have made their season.  As projected, they outrushed mighty Michigan by a margin of 200-108.  Unfortunately, they failed to pull the upset as 22 point dog when they lost 24-21 in OT.  They had buffer games the following two weeks when they defeated UTSA and Morgan State with combined rushing numbers of 743 RY.  Apparently, that led to overconfidence which, combined with the sting of the Michigan defeat, saw the Cadets go reeling with 5 consecutive losses.  The disastrous season culminated with losses of 21 to Hawaii and 24 to Navy.  With their only other victories against U. Mass and VMI, it was a truly disappointing season.  This season I expect the Black Knights to bounce back big.  They have 3 experienced signal callers on offense, return 7 defenders, and figure to be among the most improved teams in the Nation.   Look for us to be there early and often despite the fact that the Black Knights did not have any spring practices.

BYU Cougars

5th year BYU HC Sitake has 15 returning starters and one of the most experienced teams in the country. It is arguably Sitake’s most talented in Provo.  With the continuity of coordinators, 6 spring practices, and an OL that has 110 combined starts, this team will be ready to go from jump.  A trio of returning quarterbacks plus a highly touted recruit in QB Malava make this team a potential best bet in the early going.  We will pay special attention when the Cougars take the field in their preferred role of road underdog where they are 10-3 ATS under Sitake.

LIBERTY Flames

The loss of QB “Buckshot” Calvert may pale in comparison to the $10.5 million dollars that Liberty gave to departing President Falwell in reinforcing his bad behavior of watching his wife have sex with their pool attendant!  Liberty is happy to replace Falwell.  Replacing Calvert will be a pair of transfer signal callers in Maine’s Ferguson and Auburn’s Willis.  3rd year HC Freeze is known as a QB whisperer.  He should do an outstanding job developing that duo.  Regrettably, only 5 spring practices may not be enough to season only 9 returning starters.  Nonetheless, the Flames figure to be exciting once again on the offensive side of the ball where they have averaged 33 PPG in each of the 3 previous seasons.  Key to success will be on the defensive side of the ball.  Despite being only 6-5 ATS last year,  HC Freeze has a long term history of pointspread success with a record of 51-31 ATS.

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