2018 MLB Super Surgers vs. Towel Tossers

2018 MLB Super Surgers vs. Towel Tossers

August 1, 2018

By Joe Gavazzi Winning Sports Advice

www.JoeGavazziSports.com

 

Over the course of my 14,000 consecutive handicapping days through the 38 seasons of Football, Basketball and MLB, I have learned that there is a point in time in each season when I can divide the teams into a group of Super Surgers or Towel Tossers.  That is usually when teams have completed 65 to 70% of their games for a season.  The Super S urgers are the teams who are highly motivated to continue their season in their quest for optimal Playoff position. The Towel Tossers are the teams who have quickly come to the realization that their hopes for Post-Season play have dwindled to near zero.  In the case of MLB, that is roughly around the 100 game mark which corresponds with the July 31st trade deadline.  With the understanding of the principles above, and the knowledge of the value of translating dominant favorites into underdogs, I have composed the simple formula presented below as a way to isolate plays on MLB Super Surgers vs. Towel Tossers.

 

PLAY ANY GREATER THAN .500 ROAD TEAM ON THE RUN LINE AGAINST ANY .450 OR LESS HOME UNDERDOG

 

This situation alone will produce profit for you in the month of August.  To enhance your winnings, I am presenting to you my proprietary run line numbers that show which MLB < .450 home teams lose their home games 80% or more of the time and which > than .500 road teams wins their road games more than 80% of the time.

 

ALL GREATER THAN .450 TEAMS RUN LINE RECORD AT HOME

I am including Minnesota (.462) and Toronto (.453) in this list as they will soon likely drop into the Towel Tosser category.

 

TEAM W/L % RECORD AT HOME IF LOSE THE GAME BY 2+ RUNS
Baltimore 32-75 .299 26/35
KC 33-73 .311 29/37
CWS 37-69 .349 22/32
San Diego 42-68 .382 29/35*
Miami 46-63 .422 26/31*
Texas 46/63 .422 25/34
NY Mets 44/60 .423 24/33
Detroit 46/62 .426 21/27
Cincinnati 48/59 .449 23/31
Toronto 48/58 .453 21/28
Minnesota 49/57 .462 19/22*

 

*Indicates teams who lose 80% or more of their home games by 2 or more runs

 

TEAM W/L % RECORD AWAY  IF WIN THE GAME BY 2+ RUNS
NYY 68-37 .648 24/30
Houston 68-41 .624 33/36
Chicago Cubs 61-45 .575 26/28

 

Use the above content and run line numbers for best results for the 2018 Super Surgers vs. Towel Tossers

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *