In late September of this season, I published an article entitled “The 150 Club”.  It was a simple, yet very rewarding statistical angle that has continued to reap rewards throughout the season.  You can review this article in its entirety by clicking articles at JoeGavazziSports.com .  The premise of the article was to PLAY AGAINST any team who averaged < 150 RYPG and allowed > 150 RYPG.  There is profit in the overall situation.  But more specifically WHEN WE FADE THESE TEAMS AS FAVORITES, OUR UNDERDOG SELECTIONS HAVE GONE 17-7 ATS THIS SEASON (71%).  Not bad for a statistical play with only 3 parameters!

This week, I decided to do some research by inverting the situation.  Again, simply stated, we look to PLAY ON any underdog up to +21 if they run for 150 RYPG or more, and allow less than 150 RYPG.  Though not yielding as high a percentage as the previous search above, this situation has more plays, BUT MORE PROFIT AT 46-31 ATS for the season.

With a bit of refinement, I’m sure that each of these situations can yield more profit.  If you choose to do that on your own, I need to advise you that with more parameters involved, the results become less reliable.

In this week’s Pointspread Prognosis, you will be reading all about these “150 Running Dogs”.  Last week, the group went 8-2 ATS.  There are 12 of them this week, more than any week in the season.

These selections fit nicely with the “Keep on Trackin’” numbers below in that they point out the underdogs who figure to succeed at the point of attack.  Note that these numbers really heated up last week with record of 21-6 ATS for the Double Rushers and 16-3 ATS For “200 Club” members.



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